DipityJames P. Rutt has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "A nuclear explosive weapon will be used in war or terrorism."
Stewart Brand has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "There will be a Chernobyl National Park by 2035."
Stewart Brand has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the end of 2011 it will be clear that the world financial crisis of 2009 had no effect on the rate of urbanization in the devel...
Richard A. Ryals has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "If the LHC does not find the Higgs Boson or other "new physics", then Einstein's "last twenty years" will eventually be fully v...
Rogier M. Sluimers has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Somewhere before 2050 abortion on request and/or for socio-economic factors will be illegal worldwide."
Michael H. Martin-Smith has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2100, a small self-sustainable population will be living off this planet"
Lux Veritas has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2012, current venture capital- and privately-funded methods of DNA sequencing, independent of any additional “incremental improve...
Lux Veritas has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2012, current venture capital- and privately-funded methods of DNA sequencing, independent of any additional âincremental impro...
Saul Kato has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The End of Wheels: A country or state will ban the use of wheeled vehicles by private consumers on high capacity public roads."
Tim Wiebe has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The Iraqi Dinar will revalue, and reach a value of 3 Dinars per 1 U.S. dollar, or better, by November 6/2013. Currently, as of Novembe...
matt oesterle has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "advances in personal aviation will cause the cost of land in big sur, ca and other remote areas within 250mi of major metropolitan...
Rogier M. Sluimers has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model."...
Rogier M. Sluimers has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, Stellar nucleosynthesis will no longer be considered as the main source of heat and light of stars by a majority of ...
Rogier M. Sluimers has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics."
Rogier M. Sluimers has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majori...
Charles G. Seife has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "In the year 2050, there will not be an operating fusion power plant -- a device that generates net energy via a nuclear fusion ...
William P. Sheridan has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "I predict that THE HUMAN KNOWLEDGE MINDMAP will become the globally dominant knowledge paradigm by the year 2100."
Florian Kunze has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the end of the 2016 Olympic Games, swimmer Michael Phelps will be convicted for doping at the 2008 Olympic Games."
Jonathan M. Rothberg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2011 a mother will have the entire genome sequence of her unborn child from her own blood."
Jonathan M. Rothberg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2015 the majority of people who make predictions on this site will have had their genomes sequenced."
Jonathan M. Rothberg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Computers will become intelligent within my "lifetime" (or 50 years which ever is longer)"
Tibor Pacher and Paul A. Gilster have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The first true interstellar mission, targeted at the closest star to the Sun or even farther, will be launched before or on December...
Thomas R. Leavens and Nils Gilman have agreed to a new Long Bet: "By the end of the year 2020, a professional sports team that is part of either the National Football League, the National Basketbal...
Thomas R. Leavens and Nils Gilman have agreed to a new Long Bet: "By the end of the year 2020, a professional sports team that is part of either the National Football League, the National Basketbal...
Joe Keane and Nick Damiano have agreed to a new Long Bet: "Large Hadron Collider will destroy Earth."
Jack Scherer has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Hurricanes in Florida will be less in 2005-2015, than the average of the preceding three decades"
Online Casino Reports has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "There will be a casino on the moon by 2040."
Wayne B. Hayes has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, tra...
Christoph M. Stahl has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2018 the € will not be the legal currency of France, Italy and Germany."
Christoph M. Stahl has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2018 the ??? will not be the legal currency of France, Italy and Germany."
Warren Buffett and Protege Partners, LLC have agreed to a new Long Bet: "Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S & P 500 will outperform a portf...
Franklin G. Forbin and Jane Walter have agreed to a new Long Bet: "In 2108, an independent, sentient artificial intelligence will exist as a corporation, both providing its services as well as maki...
Engelman Laura has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The hiding function works."
Martin G. Tobias has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "In 2010 more diesel passenger vehicles will be sold in the US than hybrids."
Jason W. Galbraith and Sam Stigler have agreed to a new Long Bet: "Neither major U. S. political party will hold conventions or indeed primaries to select their 2012 Presidential nominees."
Jason W. Galbraith has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Roe v. Wade will not celebrate a 50th anniversary."
Barry J. Benjamin has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make...
Adrian Bowyer has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Self-replicating manufacturing machines will be commonplace by 2020."
Joerg W. Schwieder has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Patents will be abolished by at least two leading economies within the next 20 years for all areas except pharmaceuticals." ...
Matthias Brust-Braun has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2061 science and technology will meet all the essential requirements for interstellar space travel based on the embryo s...
The Long Now Foundation has judged a Long Bet between Dave Winer and Martin Nisenholtz: "In a Google search of five keywords or phrases representing the top five news stories of 2007, weblogs will ...
S. G. RAJEEV has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "No substantial departure from the standard model of elementary particle physics will be discovered in experiments by the year 2015....
Dan Gregerson has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Science believes consciousness descends from matter; religion believes matter descends from consciousness. Both propositions will ...
Sean Park has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "That the average level of innovation between 2025 and 2035 exceeds the average level of innovation of the past 5 years (2002-2007.) I ...
Sean Park has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "That the average level of innovation between 2025 and 2035 exceeds the average level of innovation of the past 5 years (2002-2007.) I ...
The Long Now Foundation has judged a Long Bet between Steven B. Kurtz and Patrick C. Burns: "The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residenti...
Joerg W. Schwieder has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050."
Séamus P. Dunne has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Turkey will join the European Union and become a model for a Democratic Islamic State and lead the way for advancing relations b...
Sarah S has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, products of artistic activity will no longer been treated as autonomous, transcendent, intrinsically value-laden objects and ar...
Lukas Atao has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Until 2020 first effective and efficient meta entities (services, individuals, inventions) which are able to integrate and balance al...
Lukas Atao has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Until 2020 first effective and efficient meta entities (services, individuals, inventions) which are able to integrate and balance al...
Zeus Jones has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2020, historians will agree that the the start of the 21st century also marked the beginning of the "Second" or "New Renaissance."...
Robert C. Hiemstra has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Long Bets RCH #2: By 2030 The Prediction: The great contest of the 21st century – the individual vs. society and the state ...
Robert C. Hiemstra has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Long Bets RCH #2: By 2030 The Prediction: The great contest of the 21st century ? the individual vs. society and the state ...
Robert C. Hiemstra has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Long Bets RCH #2: By 2030 The Prediction: The great contest of the 21st century – the individual vs. society and the state ...
Myles A. Kellam has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2035 non-invasive devices will allow us to interface with the internet (including accessing information in a similar...
JOSE LUIS L. SEGOVIA has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people."
John Tierney has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "I predict that our civilization will survive until at least 2100."
Imre Bondar has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "THE world?s slowest concert, which began on September 5, 2001 and which is scheduled to take 639 years, will still be performed at i...
Glenn I. Fleishman has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2010, the use of dial-up modems will represent less than 5 percent of all Internet access (represented as a percentage of ...
Daniel K. Simon and Glen F. Raphael have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The U.S Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics (www.bts.gov) will report a lower number of total highwa...
Emre Sokullu has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2050, there will be at least 1 green autotrophic person on the Earth..."
Michael Kreusch has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Within a decade Wal-Mart (WMT) shares cease to be listed on the NYSE as a result bankruptcy, being taken over/private, or being ...
John T. Hoagland has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Hydrocarbon fuels will be the "fuel of choice" for personal transportation for the next 50 years"
Tyrone Boyd has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Steve Jobs will be nominated for Presdident of the United States, by one of the two major political parties in 2012."
Michael P. Strenski has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "An all-new Star Wars film will be released to theatres this century."
Mike Treder has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The End of State Sovereignty: By 2030, some form of international federation or global governmental structure will emerge that can e...
Susan Smith has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2012, scientists will have announced a cure for breast cancer and mastectomies will have become almost obsolete"
morrison m. bonpasse has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the end of 2024 there will be a Single Global Currency managed by a Global Central Bank within a Global Monetary Union.(...
Hugh B. Grant has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Many types of cancer will be treated effectively with biofeedback coupled with imaging techniques, such as fMRI."
Kathleen A. Hansen has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2015, standardized tests for high school students in every state of the United States will directly evaluate students' und...
james w. walter has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "I predict that we will be in a full fledged ice age by 2100. I predict that before that we will see volcanic activity that produ...
james w. walter has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "I predict that we will be in a full fledged ice age by 2100. I predict that before that we will see volcanic activity that produ...
Juli Mallett has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Within the next 5 years, Google employees will become dissatisfied, and kick-start a new wave of new technology and prosperity in S...
Daniel M. Wigger has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "If the next president of the USA will be a democrat and/or a female, the US's anual GPD growth, major Wall Street share indices...
Daniel M. Wigger has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "If the next president of the USA will be a democrat and/or a female, the US's anual GPD growth, major Wall Street share indices...
Brian A. Schmidt has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "The International Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report will conclude it is likely, or more than likely, that human...
Gary G. Cassel has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2150 faster than light propulsion theory will become realized, but not implemented, either through black holes, worm holes or ...
Rudy Rouhana has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Google will face antitrust proceedings from the DOJ or a challenge to a merger or acquisition by the FTC."
Carl K. Lumma has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "In 2009, WinFX will be the dominant API for application development on all major PC platforms."
Carla Hein has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Within 5 years all power plants will be converted to full-spectrum laser-fired---all oil/gas/coal/nuclear power plants will be obsole...
Rodney T. Small has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "A March 2004 article stated: "More than 3.5 billion years after nature transformed non-living matter into living things, populat...
Rodney T. Small has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "A March 2004 article stated: "More than 3.5 billion years after nature transformed non-living matter into living things, populat...
Mark A. Bahner has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "I predict that my projections for methane atmospheric concentrations, industrial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and atmospheric c...
Mark A. Bahner has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Science fiction author Michael Crichton has predicted the world will warm by 0.81 degrees Celsius by the year 2100. Thomas Wigl...
Vinton G. Cerf has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2010 more than 50 percent of books worldwide will be read on digital devices rather than in print form."
Vinton G. Cerf has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2010 more than 50 percent of books sold worldwide will be printed on demand at the point of sale in the form of library-qualit...
Terry G. Spragg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Because the Israelis and the Palestinians are fighting as much over the control of water resources as they are fighting over the...
Terry G. Spragg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Within two years, at least two or more waterbags, connected by the world's strongest zipper into a train, carrying total of at l...
The Long Now Foundation has judged a Long Bet between Stewart Brand and brian eno: "As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US."
Michael F. Olliffe has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "That by 2020 it will be possible and desirable for urban houses to have a room in the house designed for, and dedicated to, p...
Brendan McAuliffe has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "You are immortal"
Rob Schnitzer has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the "faxing" (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate...
Jigar Shah has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S."
Stewart Brand and brian eno have agreed to a new Long Bet: "As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US."
Patrick C. Burns and Steven B. Kurtz have agreed to a new Long Bet: "Over the next ten years, we will make measurable global progress in all five areas of the human condition: food, access to clean...
John S. Washburn has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "DNA Emulation"
1 future has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015."
Steven B. Kurtz and Patrick C. Burns have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residential) per Kilowatthour of ...
Steven B. Kurtz and Patrick C. Burns have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residential) per Kilowatthour of ...
Steven B. Kurtz and Patrick C. Burns have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residential) per Kilowatthour of ...
Kevin Kelly has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "One hundred years from now the world's governments will formally and legally recognize the basic human right of mobility: a person m...
Peter A. Spark and Alexander King have agreed to a new Long Bet: "In 2022 the US economy will no longer be held to be the world leader in global environmental degradation."
Steven B. Kurtz has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Barring an unexpected decline in human numbers from current levels, biodiversity will not reverse its downward trend, air and wa...
jay c. dillon has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2020 a completely propellantless (no material particles expelled for propulsion) or "field propulsion-type" aerospace vehicle w...
Judah Thornewill has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Major online internet useage research firms will record that over 3 billion people in 2025 managed their incoming and outgoing ...
Judah Thornewill has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Major online internet useage research firms will record that over 3 billion people in 2025 managed their incoming and outgoing ...
Christophe Cauvy has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2070, at least six countries will have officially implemented a 4-day working week."
Christophe Cauvy has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2050, at least two pan-regional currencies, modeled on the Euro, will be used in the world."
Robert A. Freling has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2020 solar electricity will be as cheap or cheaper than that produced by fossil fuels."
freeman j. dyson and Peter A. Spark have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The first discovery of extraterrestrial life will be someplace other than on a planet or on a satellite of a planet."
Sheldon Renan has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Moore's Law, which has defined a doubling of price/performance/value produced by semi-conductors every 12 to 18 months since 1966,...
Sheldon Renan has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "Moore's Law, which has defined a doubling of price/performance/value produced by semi-conductors every 12 to 18 months since 1966,...
Diogo O. Beltran has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2040, AI will appear on computer viruses that will communicate with each other using a universal Internet language ...
John Horgan and Michio Kaku have agreed to a new Long Bet: "By 2020, no one will have won a Nobel Prize for work on superstring theory, membrane theory, or some other unified theory describing all ...
Daniel R. Porter has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2012 scientists will not have developed an explanation for how images on the Shroud of Turin came to be on the cloth -an exp...
Daniel R. Porter has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2012 scientists will not have developed an explanation for how images on the Shroud of Turin came to be on the cloth -an exp...
Peter Schwartz and Melody K. Haller have agreed to a new Long Bet: "At least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150."
Jason I. Altman has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2030 all surgical anesthesia will be administered and monitored by computers, with no need for professional medical supervisi...
Hemant Sharma has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the year 2020, the tickets to space travel - at the least to Moon, will be available over the counter."
Bob Rosenberg has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States."
Gregory W. Webster has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monito...
Mike Elliot and Ted Danson have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The US men's soccer team will win the World Cup before the Red Sox win the World Series."
Martin Rees has placed a prediction on the record at Long Bets: "By 2020, bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event."
Craig Mundie and Eric Schmidt have agreed to a new Long Bet: "By 2030, commercial passengers will routinely fly in pilotless planes."
Dave Winer and Martin Nisenholtz have agreed to a new Long Bet: "In a Google search of five keywords or phrases representing the top five news stories of 2007, weblogs will rank higher than the New...
Jim Griffin and Gordon Bell have agreed to a new Long Bet: "A profitable video-on-demand service aimed at consumers will offer 10,000 titles to 5 million subscribers by 2010."
Danny Hillis and Nathan Myhrvold have agreed to a new Long Bet: "The universe will eventually stop expanding."
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